A lot of people reacted to my New Years Day predictions post with skepticism. And rightly so. Some of the "predictions" were pretty far out.
But that was the point. I probably should have called them provocations not predictions.
That post was a list of things that I feel should happen, not so much what will happen.
Our business is about teaming up with founders who have a shared vision of where things are going and a desire to make them happen.
So my provocations are a good way of letting the world know where our head is at. Founders whose heads are in a similar place will appreciate that and come knocking on our door.
Or so we hope.
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Hi Casters. After hearing a lot of reactions to my New Year's Day Predictions post, most of it very positive, I have decided that I need to change the name from predictions to provocations https://avc.xyz/predictions-vs-provocations-1
We need to make poly market predictions for each of these, and revisit at the end of the year 🥸
that would only work if polymarket is permissionless, which it is not. we need a permissionless prediction market and we will get one. add that to my prediction/provocation list
Some on the list felt like genuine predictions while others (eg the air travel to replace the L) felt like provocations Are there any that were genuine predictions that you think most people probably mistook as a provocation?
The first two are reasonable in my view
pls write a new blog post tomorrow about the reaction to the name change
Great suggestion!
🤝
some of these provocations feel like the kind of bold ideas that could actually shape the future