I've done a lot of these January 1st look forward posts in the 20+ years I've been blogging. I've used many different approaches. I sometimes talk big themes, like I did last year. I sometimes focus on just one thing. And sometimes I just make a bunch of predictions. I am going to do the latter approach today because I feel like it and it's so much fun.
1/ Apple and Google will leverage their existing market power to surpass OpenAI/ChatGPT in consumer AI prompts by the end of 2025.
2/ Waymo will surpass Uber in rides taken in San Franciso and Los Angeles by the end of 2025.
3/ Direct bank to bank payments will surpass credit card interchange payments in a few categories in the US in 2025.
4/ A decentralized clinical trial attracts millions of participants and produces a favorable outcome and Trump's FDA not only approves the drug but celebrates the approach.
5/ A housekeeper robot named Judy is launched by Dyson and it becomes a massive success, selling millions of units.
6/ NFT Art, left for dead at the end of 2024, makes a remarkable comeback and the MOMA purchases The 6529 Museum Of Art for an undisclosed sum.
7/ An AI doctor with the personality of Mr Rogers will treat millions of patients at zero cost in 2025.
8/ A bitcoin mining operation will pair with a wind farm in Newfoundland and grid scale battery storage to power an AI data center showcasing a new model for sustainable infrastructure.
9/ Arizona's ESA program attracts over 25% of K12 students in the state, leading to a number of local school closures.
10/ An AI produces an animated feature film that is nominated for an Oscar.
11/ An air taxi service launches in New York City offering an alternative to the L train commute.
12/ TikTok turns all videos into memecoins that can be traded on decentralized exchanges all over the world.
13/ The
I've done a lot of these January 1st look forward posts in the 20+ years I've been blogging. I've used many different approaches. I sometimes talk big themes, like I did last year. I sometimes focus on just one thing. And sometimes I just make a bunch of predictions. I am going to do the latter approach today because I feel like it and it's so much fun.
1/ Apple and Google will leverage their existing market power to surpass OpenAI/ChatGPT in consumer AI prompts by the end of 2025.
2/ Waymo will surpass Uber in rides taken in San Franciso and Los Angeles by the end of 2025.
3/ Direct bank to bank payments will surpass credit card interchange payments in a few categories in the US in 2025.
4/ A decentralized clinical trial attracts millions of participants and produces a favorable outcome and Trump's FDA not only approves the drug but celebrates the approach.
5/ A housekeeper robot named Judy is launched by Dyson and it becomes a massive success, selling millions of units.
6/ NFT Art, left for dead at the end of 2024, makes a remarkable comeback and the MOMA purchases The 6529 Museum Of Art for an undisclosed sum.
7/ An AI doctor with the personality of Mr Rogers will treat millions of patients at zero cost in 2025.
8/ A bitcoin mining operation will pair with a wind farm in Newfoundland and grid scale battery storage to power an AI data center showcasing a new model for sustainable infrastructure.
9/ Arizona's ESA program attracts over 25% of K12 students in the state, leading to a number of local school closures.
10/ An AI produces an animated feature film that is nominated for an Oscar.
11/ An air taxi service launches in New York City offering an alternative to the L train commute.
12/ TikTok turns all videos into memecoins that can be traded on decentralized exchanges all over the world.
13/ The USV Librarian goes rogue, gets access to USV's crypto wallet, and starts making seed investments, one of which turns into a fund returner.
Like I said yesterday, "buckle up", 2025 is going to be wild.
Like I said yesterday, "buckle up", 2025 is going to be wild.
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AVCNotebook Lawyer
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AVCWhat Will Happen In 2025
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AVCWhat Will Happen In 2025
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maybe zora just read @fredwilson.eth's essay and decided to beat tiktok to it. https://avc.xyz/what-will-happen-in-2025-1
Interesting predictions from @fredwilson.eth Some good some goofy but all 13 are concrete and testable, very nice. https://avc.xyz/what-will-happen-in-2025-1 Here's what will actually happen. Game on and set a reminder: 1. Yes. DeepSeek makes this even more likely. 2. Yes, but only within SF, not LA. 3. Yes. 4. No. If we're lucky such a trial might start in 2025, but the remaining steps will take way longer than EOY. 5. Sure, yes (sounds like Fred has the inside scoop) 6. Yes specifically to the testable part = 6529 selling their collection. 7. Hard no if you mean an actual doctor that has authority to prescribe anything. 8. Yes (another inside scoop?) 9. No. 10. No and lol. AI might be used as part of a film production, as in that Coke commercial, but nothing more than that. 11. No. Looking forward to Uber x Joby but will be pushed back to 2026! 12. Absolutely not 13. Maybe if you mechanical turk it 🤣 "hii it's your friendly ai, are you raising?"
sadly we don't have permissionless prediction markets that are lit up automatically when i hit publish on this
Keeping this in order to track how that goes.
DEEPSEEK is shaking up the world of AI
Very interesting predictions! Remindme in 12 months to revisit
What happening?????
Welcome to 2025 — we're back with the 27th edition of Paragraph Picks, highlighting a few hand-selected pieces from the past couple of weeks. Check them out & let us know which is your favorite!
In his annual tradition, @fredwilson.eth shares bold predictions for 2025, spanning advancements in AI, transportation, decentralized finance, education, and NFT art, while hinting at wild developments in crypto and entertainment. https://avc.xyz/what-will-happen-in-2025-1
@naomiii reflects on the lost art of listening, emphasizing its importance as an act of love, empathy, and connection in a world increasingly dominated by noise and self-centered communication. https://paragraph.xyz/@cryptonao/listening
@tpan reviews key 2024 Web3 trends and predicts the evolution of airdrop magnets, SocialFi, memecoins, prediction markets, interactive gameshows, and AI agents in shaping 2025 and beyond. https://paragraph.xyz/@tpan/350-a-2024-web3-with-tpan-recap
Never thought I’d share any sort of (virtual) stage with @fredwilson.eth
What Will Happen In 2025
What Will Happen In 2025 Good list!
Share Dialog
Share Dialog
maybe zora just read @fredwilson.eth's essay and decided to beat tiktok to it. https://avc.xyz/what-will-happen-in-2025-1
Nice
💜
Interesting predictions from @fredwilson.eth Some good some goofy but all 13 are concrete and testable, very nice. https://avc.xyz/what-will-happen-in-2025-1 Here's what will actually happen. Game on and set a reminder: 1. Yes. DeepSeek makes this even more likely. 2. Yes, but only within SF, not LA. 3. Yes. 4. No. If we're lucky such a trial might start in 2025, but the remaining steps will take way longer than EOY. 5. Sure, yes (sounds like Fred has the inside scoop) 6. Yes specifically to the testable part = 6529 selling their collection. 7. Hard no if you mean an actual doctor that has authority to prescribe anything. 8. Yes (another inside scoop?) 9. No. 10. No and lol. AI might be used as part of a film production, as in that Coke commercial, but nothing more than that. 11. No. Looking forward to Uber x Joby but will be pushed back to 2026! 12. Absolutely not 13. Maybe if you mechanical turk it 🤣 "hii it's your friendly ai, are you raising?"
sadly we don't have permissionless prediction markets that are lit up automatically when i hit publish on this
Keeping this in order to track how that goes.
DEEPSEEK is shaking up the world of AI
Very interesting predictions! Remindme in 12 months to revisit
What happening?????
Welcome to 2025 — we're back with the 27th edition of Paragraph Picks, highlighting a few hand-selected pieces from the past couple of weeks. Check them out & let us know which is your favorite!
In his annual tradition, @fredwilson.eth shares bold predictions for 2025, spanning advancements in AI, transportation, decentralized finance, education, and NFT art, while hinting at wild developments in crypto and entertainment. https://avc.xyz/what-will-happen-in-2025-1
@naomiii reflects on the lost art of listening, emphasizing its importance as an act of love, empathy, and connection in a world increasingly dominated by noise and self-centered communication. https://paragraph.xyz/@cryptonao/listening
@tpan reviews key 2024 Web3 trends and predicts the evolution of airdrop magnets, SocialFi, memecoins, prediction markets, interactive gameshows, and AI agents in shaping 2025 and beyond. https://paragraph.xyz/@tpan/350-a-2024-web3-with-tpan-recap
Never thought I’d share any sort of (virtual) stage with @fredwilson.eth
What Will Happen In 2025
What Will Happen In 2025 Good list!